There's a lot of good philosophy of (social) science thinking in this piece by crookedtimber.org/2024/07/03/d

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“Evidence-based policymaking” at the scale of responding to social media is simply the fantasy of policy without politics — in the cybernetic terminology of Dan Davies’ fantastic recent book about Stafford Beer, it is an “accountability sink.” Technocratic politicians love it: they don’t have to be leaders, merely followers of the evidence—if things turn out poorly, well, that’s just how science works, it never claims to be perfect, merely self-correcting. It certainly wasn’t my fault—what do you want me to do, ignore the evidence? Text: “Evidence-based policymaking” at the scale of responding to social media is simply the fantasy of policy without politics — in the cybernetic terminology of Dan Davies’ fantastic recent book about Stafford Beer, it is an “accountability sink.” Technocratic politicians love it: they don’t have to be leaders, merely followers of the evidence—if things turn out poorly, well, that’s just how science works, it never claims to be perfect, merely self-correcting. It certainly wasn’t my fault—what do you want me to do, ignore the evidence?

"Notice, by the way, how the Republicans claim Joe Biden is a tyrant and a dictator, yet they explicitly grant him dictatorial powers, confident that he will not use them!" @adamkotsko itself.blog/2024/07/02/what-do

"cynicism is the defense mechanism of the irresponsible, and sincerity is the only way to counter such poisons." @profmusgrave musgrave.substack.com/p/teachi

"What makes Chief Justice John Roberts, or other participants in the extension of Trumpian power, think they are exempt from the end of the constitutional order as we have known it?" @profmusgrave musgrave.substack.com/p/youre-

Did the Supreme Court also implicitly overturn the War Powers Act? Posse Comitatus?

i can't believe i largely agree with Bret Stephens. i think that's a first. nytimes.com/2024/07/02/opinion

for a minute there i worried whether we could still sit on the more Athenian side of the big "democracy vs autocracy" global geopolitical struggle.

but then i remembered where Saudi Arabia sits, so it's probably cool if we just hang with them.

"Essentially, the​ Court ​in Trump v. United States ​is declaring the Constitution itself unconstitutional​.​​ Instead of properly starting with the Constitution’s text and structure, the ​​Court has ended up repealing them​​." theatlantic.com/politics/archi

We need — fast! — a Netscape series dramatizing plausible hypotheticals under Trump vs the United States.

From Watergate II — no problem! the President just pardons the burglars — to firing the general who won't shoot protesters then pardoning the general who does, to suspending elections then firing and jailing any official who dissents or resists.

It can and should emphasize legal realism. A pardon is a conclusive and preclusive constitutional authority.

"It's odd that a supposedly conservative court has been so eager to make so many radical changes to settled law, no?" jabberwocking.com/precedent-we

Sometimes when Congressional candidates become unable to contest an election, the spouse has subbed in. (See e.g. Lisa Murkowski, who is still in the US Senate.)

Is Jill Biden a potential candidate?

(I'm not trying to comment one way or another on the advisability or perhaps absurdity of that.)

how might missiles raining over Tel Aviv and Beirut affect the election?

i find it hard not to curl up into a fetal position right now.

it's no good to look forward to saying "i told you so" when we're dead.

"A ringing example of an establishment conspiracy theory, that Saddam Hussein was somehow in cahoots with Al Queda, helped to touch off a regional conflagration." @maxbsawicky sawicky.substack.com/p/the-uni

People really are not cognizing just how bad this is, once you get past the headlines.

Assertion of some narrow immunity that might have somewhat helped Donald Trump in his current legal travails would be one thing.

This is a profound short-circuit of any form of executive accountability. I am simply terrified, at a very personal level.

screenshotted quote from washingtonexaminer.com/opinion

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Barrett, in the middle, wrote the single most concisely cogent line of all: “Properly conceived, the president’s constitutional protection for prosecution is narrow.” And in the part of her opinion that dissents from the main holding, she absolutely blasted Roberts’s truly bizarre, entirely untextual conclusion that even if a president is being tried for conduct outside the very “outer” bounds of presidential authority, prosecutors can’t discuss conduct for which he is immune as part of the evidence in their case.

If the president is being charged with bribery, for example, then, of course, the jury should be told what “official act” it was for which the bribe was paid.

“To make sense of charges alleging a quid pro quo,” she wrote, “the jury must be allowed to hear about both the quid and the quo.” (ltalics are Barrett’s.) Under Roberts’s astonishingly grandiose assertion of presidential immunity, a jury would be denied that basic information. Text: Barrett, in the middle, wrote the single most concisely cogent line of all: “Properly conceived, the president’s constitutional protection for prosecution is narrow.” And in the part of her opinion that dissents from the main holding, she absolutely blasted Roberts’s truly bizarre, entirely untextual conclusion that even if a president is being tried for conduct outside the very “outer” bounds of presidential authority, prosecutors can’t discuss conduct for which he is immune as part of the evidence in their case. If the president is being charged with bribery, for example, then, of course, the jury should be told what “official act” it was for which the bribe was paid. “To make sense of charges alleging a quid pro quo,” she wrote, “the jury must be allowed to hear about both the quid and the quo.” (ltalics are Barrett’s.) Under Roberts’s astonishingly grandiose assertion of presidential immunity, a jury would be denied that basic information.

it me. prospect.org/power/2024-07-02-

If the Supreme Court has legalized tyranny, is it dumb to risk holding an election and giving their guy the opportunity to indefinitely suspend them when your guy has the scepter and the opportunity now?

This is the kind of dilemma the Supreme Court has just interpreted into the US Constitution.

No windows were broken in the US Capitol. But today was the coup. The rest is just events, unless we dethrone this court and reverse today's madness soon.

"The incredibly cynical and lawless two-step the Republican Party engaged in — Trump shouldn’t be impeached because he can be prosecuted, and he can’t be prosecuted because he could have been impeached — has been enshrined into 'constitutional law.'" lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2024/

Can Democrats run on codifying the criminalization of any substantial gratuity to public officials at every level please?

I mean, this stuff is too basic even for Schoolhouse Rock.

who presides over a trial in the Senate subsequent to an impeachment when it's the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court who has been impeached?