@LesterB99 i don’t pretend to know the answers on this stuff. but one has to weigh any deterrent effect against entrenchment and desperation effects. if war crime trials for Putin are prerequisite to a peace deal, there will be no peace deal. if a leader thinks he’ll be hanged if he doesn’t win, he’ll fight to his country’s death. 1/

@LesterB99 also, perception that rules are unevenly applied is itself a cause of war, as some countries don’t think there’s a less violent dispute resolution forum that won’t be rigged against them. i don’t want to overweight Putin’s public pretexts, but he justifies the war in part by claiming the “rules-based order” is just a fig-leaf for an unfair system where the US makes and breaks the rules. /fin