"if you feel like you write free software for others but nobody joins your community, you are not alone. We are all together in this, alone. 😥" @alex alexschroeder.ch/view/2024-06- via @akkartik @TodePond @llimllib

[tech notebook] Neonix tech.interfluidity.com/2024/06

Exterminationist AGI was invented in the 1970s as the "shareholder value revolution" and the "foom" has already happened.

Sassy, Google.

Screenshot of a Google search for Screenshot of a Google search for "emacs" which asks, "Did you mean: vi"

@djc it's not just him. Hughes, Henry Ford. Gates is not so flamboyantly evil, but his IP-first, market-incentives-uber-alles politics (Zuckerberg's too) have undermined global public health, both directly by preventing broader IP access and indirectly by making plausible the idea that vaccines are a greed-motivated conspiracy, and led to at-best unsuccessful if not outright destructive diversions in educational reform.

in reply to @djc

@djc Plus, these people obviously face information problems. It becomes harder and harder for their worldview not to be refracted through sycophants. Autocrats and plutocrats lose their capacity for good social judgment, even when their intentions remain sincerely prosocial, due to information problems, the fact that their advisors have so much to gain from titrating advice towards their self interest. If you believe incentives matter, they matter here too.

in reply to self

@djc (re relative comparisons, maybe! we'd have to see. but if plutocrats are going to perceive relative status in logarithmic terms, that's a preference structure we just can't afford to accommodate.)

in reply to self

@djc I guess here we'll disagree. If Galt must be motivated by money, he must be motivated on a scale that lets him buy Twitter or finance Fox News (or MSNBC! Whatever!). The social cost of that far, far exceeds whatever technical contributions sociopathic motivation can make.

Fortunately, sociopathic motivation may be relative! If Musk is motivated by being richer than Bezos, downshifting the entire scale may have very little motivational effect!

in reply to @djc

@djc Plus, I'd ask you to consider whether Galtian incentives aren't self-debilitating. Howard Hughes starts as a brilliant aviator, but become Howard Hughes.

Elon Musk, well, his politics are obviously flamboyant. But early in his career, you could think (I used to think!) he was stewarding Tesla in a prosocial way. I don't think that's a reasonable conjecture anymore. His talents have been deflected by his wealth.

in reply to self

@djc taxing the top 0.1% doesn't get what we want in terms of financing, but the income tax is not about financing. it's about shaping society, avoiding caste. i'm not very into high income taxes on the upper-middle class, am very into "confiscatory" rates above about $1M per annum. (see drafts.interfluidity.com/2024/ especially the part about sewing the seeds of the 1980s tax revolt.)

in reply to @djc

@djc the top 1%, 10% is largely opposed because of the political work by the top 0.1%. the whole game is based on persuading people earning $500K a year that they — THEY — are going to be raped by communists unless they adopt the politics of billionaires. it's a shame that too much of "the left" is willing to play along. by e.g. Biden does a pretty good job with that, no (income) tax increases $400K or less.

in reply to self

@djc If you don't believe me, I'd ask you to consider why we were able to do so much more before "tax simplification", before we collapsed our many many tax brackets, which allowed discriminating between plutocrats and the merely affluent, into just a few, placing plutocrats and the merely affluent in the same boat. This was the core of Reagan's absolutely catastrophic project. See @chrisp's animation, watch the number of brackets go poof. github.com/chrisvwx/taxFoo.jl

in reply to self

@djc @chrisp (my pithiest expression of all this was a 2019 tweet.) x.com/interfluidity/status/109

in reply to self

@djc @chrisp Perhaps we can agree that it wouldn't hurt to...

1) Restore 1940s tax rates at the very high end

2) Restore many more tax brackets (or, for us nerds, a suitably shaped continuous curve) to make it easier to discriminate between the affluent and the plutocratic in our income taxes.

in reply to self

@djc @chrisp I think that'll take us farther than you think. Maybe not. But it almost surely will do more good than harm among a wide variety of social axes, unless you really believe that for the good of all John Galt and his genius must be retained on the job, and the best and only way to keep him there is financial incentives even though he is already richer than Croesus.

in reply to self

@djc but not "a safety net"! that is, the minimum is always there for everyone, not a thing you have to prove your misery in order to deserve.

(on the topside, i'd ask you to think about what it would take to solve the many social problems we face if we were serious and unified in addressing them, and why we don't do those things. we are paralyzed because a very few people are addicted to impossible lives and immersed in egotistic competitions.)

in reply to @djc

@curtosis your content warning is a thing of beauty.

in reply to @curtosis

fzf.

i've never heard of it, but it's so cool.

like so often i'm indebted to @llimllib notes.billmill.org/computer_us

@djc Apparently by whatever that’s measuring Finland’s welfare state has grown more generous. Lots of Swedes lament the retrenchment of social democracy during neoliberalism. Norway is of course Norway. In any case, Nordic social democracy is not a particular number. It is first and foremost a commitment to a universalism of positive rights, backed by an ethos of solidarity and reciprocity. Everybody must have access to the basics of a decent life and to complements to social contribution.

in reply to @djc

@djc Very arithmetic notions of egalitarianism would have tons of means testing. Take from the rich, give to the poor, maximize arithmetic equality per dollar taxed. But arithmetic egalitarianism is dumb, inhuman. Egalitarian means equal participation, equal dignity. It does not mean uniformity in every outcome, including income or wealth. It should (unfortunately in the Nordics does not) foreclose differences in wealth so great that political equality becomes a sham.

in reply to self

@djc But there is no great contradiction between Nordic universalism and the “capitalist” side of Nordic social democracy. They complement one another. Arithmetically, universal benefits promote equality in an incentive preserving way. Adding a large constant number to everybody’s variable “capitalist” income reduces variation.

in reply to self

@djc (You’ll note in that thread the declines are attributed to less generous unemployment and pension benefits. Those are actually difference preserving, rather than difference reducing benefits. With less of them, people fall back more quickly on more universally identical benefits. I’m not arguing that threadbare unemployment insurance is “good”! What goods, including protection from what kinds of rich, a society should define as universal is an open conversation with lots of nuance.

in reply to self

@djc But a decent society ensures a decent basic, no matter what, and the Nordics still do that. Nordic wealth inequality is high, due to the basic political settlement that enabled social democracy. That’s fine. Nordics should do a better job of preventing plutocratic wealth accumulation though. There as here, every billionaire is a policy failure, and they have too many.

in reply to self

@djc We all should think less about means testing at the bottom and more about means testing at the top, to prevent the emergence of caste and influence.)

in reply to self

@zhous98 i wish i had one!

in reply to @zhous98

[tech notebook] Readying a blog for revision histories and sprouts under unstatic tech.interfluidity.com/2024/06

@tofugolem @kzimmermann let it be.

in reply to @tofugolem

@enmodo one can be worse but still “ok”. saying “not ok” may just be not something people are eager to do. if you ask me how i am and i say “ok”, that often means pretty bad but i don’t want to whine to you.

in reply to @enmodo

@enmodo That's the point people who share my electoral politics typically make. I think it's wrong. I think this is in fact a pretty rough economy for most people, and that affluent professional-class liberals are letting their own good fortune and a very selective reading of "data" and "evidence" write discontent off just as "foxwashing".

in reply to @enmodo

People whose electoral politics is the same as mine seem very excited to share Figure 7, but they seem less often to share Figure 5.

Both from the same source, the Fed's Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2023 - May 2024 federalreserve.gov/publication

"Figure 7. Assessment of own financial well-being, local economy, and national economy (by year)" showing a steady 75%-ish describe themselves as "doing at least okay" financially, even while they perceive their local and the national economy declining.
"Figure 5. Financial situation compared with 12 months prior (by year)" showing that of that "doing okay" in Figure 7, only about a third ever felt better off year-over-year, and since 2022, substantially more perceive themselves to be worse off than better off, year over year.

"Unless the government steps in to build when new home sales demand gets soft, we will not add homes to the builders’ demand algorithm. Builders have learned to tightly control inventory… We won’t see the construction boom that people want because the builders are here to make money; they’re not here to fix the low inventory issues of the existing home sales market, which is their main rival for demand." housingwire.com/articles/why-w

@scott the shards can be sharp.

in reply to @scott

@darwinwoodka perfection! so exciting.

in reply to @darwinwoodka